Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $2.63 on Apr 30?

83¢
Bid/Ask 0/98¢·Spread 98¢·Vol $0·OI $108·Closes May 1, 2026·15d remaining
KXH200MON-26APR30-2.630
7-day price33 snapshots · 5 regime
86¢2¢Apr 8Apr 15

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $108 open interest, making the 83¢ price potentially unreliable despite the high implied probability. The massive 98¢ spread and wildly divergent yields (500% for Yes vs. 11,918% for No) suggest the market lacks consensus pricing, with the No side severely undervalued or the Yes side overpriced. The 150% price surge over seven days combined with a realized volatility of 66,279% and high cliff risk indicates this is a thin, volatile market where large moves can occur on minimal information flow, making it unsuitable for serious position-taking without additional liquidity.

Resolution rules

If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $2.63 on Apr 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 501.4%
IY (No) 11951.3%
Adj IY 0%
CRI 5
RV 66279%
VR 11.31
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)501.4%
IY (No)11951.3%
Adj IY0%
CRI5
RV66279%
VR11.31
IAR0.7/h
Overround22.2%
LAS1.18

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
98¢
Computed
4/16/2026, 6:13:05 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/16/2026, 6:08:24 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXH200MON-26APR30-2.630 yes 100

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