Will T1 win map 1 in the T1 vs. DRX match?

99¢
Bid/Ask 99/100¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $15,964.77·OI $13,649.06·Closes Apr 19, 2026·14d remaining
KXLOLMAP-26APR190600T1DRX-1-T1
7-day price45 snapshots · 4 regime
99¢3¢Apr 16Apr 19

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market exhibits extreme mispricing with T1 priced at 97¢ despite a massive 7-day price collapse from 88¢, suggesting recent negative information about T1's map 1 performance or DRX's strength that hasn't fully corrected the probability. The 13,755% implied yield on the No side is extraordinarily high and economically nonsensical, indicating severe liquidity constraints ($13k open interest) and a potential arbitrage opportunity for contrarian bettors willing to back DRX at these odds. With 14 days to expiry, a realized volatility of 1,779% and an information arrival rate of 1.4 events per hour, this market remains highly unstable and vulnerable to sharp repricing as match details emerge.

Resolution rules

If T1 wins map 1 in the LCK 2026: T1 vs. DRX League of Legends match originally scheduled for Apr 19, 2026 at 6:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 197.4%
IY (No) 34834.3%
Adj IY 34458%
CRI 13
RV 1773%
VR 6.23
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)197.4%
IY (No)34834.3%
Adj IY34458%
CRI13
RV1773%
VR6.23
IAR1.5/h
LAS0.01

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 12:58:04 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/19/2026, 11:53:18 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXLOLMAP-26APR190600T1DRX-1-T1 yes 100

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