Will Chappell Roan be 1 on the Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in April 2026?

This market is pricing Chappell Roan's chances of hitting #1 on Spotify's US daily chart in April 2026 at just 12%, despite her recent chart momentum and established fanbase. The 4¢ spread and near-zero 24h volume ($0) indicate extremely thin liquidity, making the 12¢ price potentially unreliable as a true probability estimate. The sharp 7-day decline from 2¢ to 1¢ suggests either deteriorating sentiment or minimal trading activity driving the price down, warranting caution before interpreting this as meaningful market conviction.

Resolution rules

If Chappell Roan has a #1 song on Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in April 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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