Will KATSEYE be 1 on the Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in April 2026?

1¢
Bid/Ask 1/2¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $1·OI $1,138.88·Closes May 1, 2026
KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26MAY01-KAT
7-day price48 snapshots · 2 regime
5¢1¢Apr 8Apr 17

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market has collapsed 75% over the past week from 4¢ to 1¢, suggesting deteriorating confidence in KATSEYE achieving a #1 hit during April 2026. The 1¢ price implies only a 1% probability despite the group's recent chart activity, which appears pessimistic given that achieving a single daily #1 on Spotify USA over a 30-day window is historically more common than this odds suggest. Liquidity is extremely thin with just $1 in 24-hour volume against $1,139 open interest, creating execution risk for any meaningful position.

Resolution rules

If KATSEYE has a #1 song on Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in April 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 9:36:54 AM
Observability mediumEvent type cultural

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26MAY01-KAT yes 100

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