Will Lana Del Rey be 1 on the Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in April 2026?

At 3¢, this market prices in only a 3% chance that Lana Del Rey reaches #1 on Spotify's daily USA chart during April 2026, which appears pessimistic given her historical chart performance and the broad resolution criteria (any single day in the month). The $20.63 open interest and minimal $5 daily volume suggest thin liquidity, making the 2¢ spread relatively wide and creating potential execution challenges for larger positions. With roughly 16 months until expiry, this is a longer-dated contract where sentiment could shift significantly if Del Rey releases new material or experiences a streaming resurgence.

Resolution rules

If Lana Del Rey has a #1 song on Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in April 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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