Will Megan Moroney be 1 on the Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in April 2026?

This market is pricing Megan Moroney at just 1% probability of hitting #1 on Spotify's US daily chart during April 2026, which appears pessimistic given her recent chart success and the relatively broad resolution criteria (any day in the month qualifies). The 2¢ spread is wide relative to the 1¢ price, and with zero 24-hour volume against $109.5 open interest, liquidity is essentially nonexistent, making this a speculative position rather than an active trading market. The neutral regime score and flat 7-day price action suggest the market lacks conviction, though the approaching May 1st expiry (approximately 5 months out) gives reasonable time for chart conditions to shift.

Resolution rules

If Megan Moroney has a #1 song on Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in April 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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