Will Nicki Minaj be 1 on the Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in April 2026?

This market shows extreme distress signals with the price collapsing 95% over seven days (from 79¢ to 4¢), though it's currently trading at 29¢, suggesting recent volatility or data anomalies. The implied yield on the Yes side exceeds 69,000% while realized volatility sits at 10,552%, indicating the market is pricing in either a dramatic reassessment of Nicki Minaj's chart prospects or potential liquidity issues given the minimal $7 daily volume against $1,014 open interest. With only 13 days until expiry and a wide 25¢ spread, this appears to be a thinly-traded contract where the pricing may not reflect genuine probability estimates.

Resolution rules

If Nicki Minaj has a #1 song on Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in April 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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