Will Playboi Carti be 1 on the Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in April 2026?

This market is pricing in only a 9% probability of Playboi Carti hitting #1 on Spotify's US daily chart during April 2026, which appears conservative given his historical chart performance and the broad resolution criteria (any single day in the month). The market shows concerning illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and just $109.53 open interest, making the 3¢ spread potentially misleading; the actual depth to move prices significantly is unclear. Price has declined sharply from 2¢ to 1¢ over seven days, suggesting either deteriorating sentiment or minimal trading activity driving the movement.

Resolution rules

If Playboi Carti has a #1 song on Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in April 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Regime

Trade