Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royals Winner?

64¢

Bid/Ask 63/64¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $723,921.29·OI $751,353.86·Closes Apr 22, 2026·3d remaining

KXIPLGAME-26APR19RRKKR-RR

7-day price275 snapshots · 39 regime

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

The KKR vs RR winner market shows extreme yield metrics (7740% for Yes, 18935% for No) driven by its imminent 3-day expiry, with the price having surged 5¢ to 64¢ over the past week amid healthy $723k daily volume and tight 1¢ spreads. The 343% realized volatility and elevated info arrival rate of 1.3/hour suggest active trading around match-day developments, though the low vol ratio of 0.38 indicates implied volatility may be overstated relative to recent price swings. With $751k open interest and a cliff risk index of 2, this appears to be a liquid, near-resolution market where the 64% KKR implied probability reflects moderate confidence in the favorite.

Resolution rules

If Rajasthan Royals wins the Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royals professional men's IPL Cricket match originally scheduled for Apr 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 7740.0%

IY (No) 18935.2%

Adj IY 18625%

CRI 2

RV 343%

VR 0.38

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	7740.0%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	18935.2%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	18625%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	343%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	0.38	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.3/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
LAS	0.02	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.432

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/19/2026, 9:42:05 AM

Observability mediumEvent type unknown

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/19/2026, 9:38:31 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXIPLGAME-26APR19RRKKR-RR yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →