Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $1,164 open interest, making the 23¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The 498% implied yield on the Yes side combined with a massive 22.27 volatility ratio and 3,382% realized volatility suggests the market has experienced severe price swings—notably dropping from 36¢ to 23¢ over seven days—indicating either thin order books amplifying minor trades or significant sentiment shifts regarding Weiss's managerial prospects. With 245 days until expiry and a wide 45¢ bid-ask spread, this contract carries substantial execution risk and should be approached cautiously given the illiquidity and high cliff risk index of 3.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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