Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants Winner?

11¢
Bid/Ask 10/11¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $4,615,948.02·OI $3,929,490.31·Closes Apr 22, 2026·3d remaining
KXIPLGAME-26APR19LSGPBKS-LSG
7-day price216 snapshots · 39 regime
45¢6¢Apr 12Apr 19

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme mispricing with a 16¢ price on what appears to be a live or recently completed IPL match (originally scheduled April 19, 2026, now 3 days past expiry date), suggesting a potential resolution delay or data error. The astronomical 100,000% implied yield on Yes combined with $3.8M in 24-hour volume and a tight 1¢ spread indicates either significant uncertainty about the actual match outcome or a liquidity trap where the price hasn't adjusted to new information. The realized volatility of 1,538% and cliff risk index of 8 are severe red flags suggesting this market experienced sharp price swings, likely from late-arriving match results or resolution confusion.

Resolution rules

If Lucknow Super Giants wins the Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants professional men's IPL Cricket match originally scheduled for Apr 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) >100,000%
IY (No) 1086.6%
Adj IY 87500%
CRI 12
RV 1672%
VR 0.81
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)>100,000%
IY (No)1086.6%
Adj IY87500%
CRI12
RV1672%
VR0.81
IAR0.7/h
LAS0.13

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.432
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 4:06:39 PM
Observability mediumEvent type unknown
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/19/2026, 3:53:18 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXIPLGAME-26APR19LSGPBKS-LSG yes 100

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