Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants Winner?

This market shows extreme distress signals with the Yes contract at 61¢ displaying an astronomical 9,227.6% implied yield, while the No side offers an even more extreme 16,214.4%, suggesting severe mispricing or a resolution crisis. The price has collapsed dramatically from 5¢ to 60¢ over seven days with realized volatility at 247%, and with only 3 days until expiry on 4/22/2026, the match appears to have already occurred (originally scheduled 4/19), indicating this market may be awaiting official resolution or facing a dispute. The tight 1¢ spread and healthy $1M+ volume mask underlying illiquidity concerns given the cliff risk index of 1 and the unusually low vol ratio of 0.25, suggesting traders are pricing in imminent binary resolution rather than genuine uncertainty.

Resolution rules

If Punjab Kings wins the Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants professional men's IPL Cricket match originally scheduled for Apr 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

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