Who will win Vezina Trophy?

5¢

Bid/Ask 0/1¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $375·Closes Jun 30, 2026·72d remaining

KXNHLVEZINA-26-JSAR

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme mispricing with a 9,640% implied yield on the Yes side, yet zero 24-hour volume and minimal $375 open interest suggest severe illiquidity and potential data staleness. The 1¢ spread and Polymarket's null price indicate this contract may be inactive or delisted elsewhere, raising questions about whether the 5¢ Kalshi price reflects genuine market consensus or stale quotes. With 72 days to expiry and a high cliff risk index of 19, any position here faces significant execution risk and should only appeal to contrarian bettors confident in Saros's Vezina odds being substantially higher than 5%.

Cross-venue

Also on polymarket at —¢

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.95Close-time delta 14h

Resolution rules

If Juuse Saros wins the NHL Vezina Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 9646.7%

IY (No) 26.7%

Adj IY 3859%

CRI 19

Overround 0.4%

LAS 0.20

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	9646.7%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	26.7%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	3859%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	19	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.4%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.20	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/19/2026, 4:51:22 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/19/2026, 4:38:14 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNHLVEZINA-26-JSAR yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →