Who will win Vezina Trophy?

4¢

Bid/Ask 0/1¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $25·Closes Jun 30, 2026·72d remaining

KXNHLVEZINA-26-JWOL

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This Joseph Woll Vezina Trophy contract is trading at an extreme valuation disconnect with virtually no liquidity—just $25 open interest and zero 24-hour volume—making the 12,176% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable. The 1¢ spread and absence of Polymarket pricing data suggest this is a thin, speculative position that may not reflect genuine market consensus on Woll's trophy odds. With 72 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 24, the contract carries meaningful execution risk, and traders should treat the headline yield as a liquidity mirage rather than a realistic return opportunity.

Cross-venue

Also on polymarket at —¢

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.95Close-time delta 14h

Resolution rules

If Joseph Woll wins the NHL Vezina Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 12185.3%

IY (No) 21.2%

Adj IY 4569%

CRI 24

Overround 0.4%

LAS 0.25

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	12185.3%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	21.2%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	4569%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	24	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.4%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.25	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/19/2026, 4:52:14 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/19/2026, 4:38:14 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNHLVEZINA-26-JWOL yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →