Will Andrey Rublev win the Rublev vs Fils: Final match?

This market displays extreme volatility with a realized volatility of 3,783% and an implied yield on the Yes side of 6,419%, suggesting either significant uncertainty about match conditions or potential data anomalies. The price has risen 5 cents over seven days (from 24¢ to 29¢), and with only 14 days to expiry and $63,534 in 24-hour volume against $50,738 open interest, there's reasonable liquidity despite the tight 1¢ spread. The high info arrival rate of 0.9/h combined with a cliff risk index of 2 indicates the market is pricing in material information flow closer to the match date, making this a volatile position for the remaining two weeks.

Resolution rules

If Andrey Rublev wins the Rublev vs Fils professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Barcelona Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade