Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and just $1,421 in open interest, making the 24¢ price potentially unreliable for serious positioning. The 250.6% implied yield on the Yes side is notably high relative to the neutral regime and modest 548-day timeframe, suggesting either significant mispricing or very low conviction among traders. The wide 7¢ spread and minimal recent price movement (22¢ to 21¢ over seven days) indicate thin order books that could produce substantial slippage on meaningful trades.

Resolution rules

If Pete Fry wins the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Regime

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