Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes

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32%
18 markets·Kalshi + Polymarket

Kalshi

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34%

12 contracts

Polymarket

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28%

6 contracts

Cross-venue gap6¢

Contracts

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

P$326K
34¢

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

P$215K
4¢

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

P$173K
8¢

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: Before 2027

K$85K
20¢

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

P$56K
21¢

Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?: Before June

K$21K
17¢

Will Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026?: Republican Party

K$17K
52¢

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

P$13K
93¢

Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party

K$4K
47¢

Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?: Before 2027

K$4K
52¢

Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?: Before July

K$3K
26¢

Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?: Before September

K$2K
40¢

Will there be no U.S. acquisition of Greenland during Trump's term?: $0 / No Acquisition

K$1K
80¢

Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal before August?: Before August

K$1K
37¢

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

P$501
7¢

Will bill that mandates the creation and issuance of a $250 U.S. bill featuring Donald J. Trump's likeness becomes law before Jan 1, 2027?: Before Jan 1, 2027

K$141
6¢

Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 12 and 14%?: Democrats, 12 to 14%

K$0
7¢

Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 8 and 10%?: Democrats, 8 to 10%

K$0
20¢

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