Will Ons Jabeur be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

This market shows extremely low conviction in Jabeur's chances at 1% implied probability, with zero 24-hour volume despite $25k in open interest, suggesting the position is largely static and illiquid. The tight spread and neutral regime indicate minimal recent price movement or volatility, typical for long-dated sports futures with low trading activity. With the tournament approximately 18 months away, the pricing likely reflects Jabeur's current ranking and recent form rather than any near-term catalyst, making this a speculative hold for believers in her resurgence rather than an actively traded contract.

Resolution rules

Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Regime

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