Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

This market shows extreme illiquidity despite $591k in 24-hour volume, with a zero-cent price and $18.6M open interest indicating the position is heavily concentrated among a small number of traders. The 7-day price collapse from 1¢ to 0¢ suggests either a decisive shift in Swedish political expectations away from Mohamsson or potential position liquidation, though the zero spread makes it impossible to execute trades at any price. With expiration just over 20 months away on 9/13/2026, the market appears to have priced Mohamsson out entirely, which is unusual for a prediction market on a major political figure unless she has formally withdrawn from consideration or faced a significant political setback.

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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