Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Analysis
AI-generated · updated dailyElisabeth Thand Ringqvist has zero measurable support in this prediction market, with a 0% implied probability and a 0¢ bid-ask spread, suggesting either negligible demand or near-certain consensus she won't become Sweden's next PM. The market shows healthy liquidity relative to its thesis, with $576K in 24-hour volume against $15.3M open interest, indicating active trading despite the extreme price. With resolution tied to Sweden's September 13, 2026 parliamentary elections, this appears to be a longer-dated market where the zero price likely reflects her status as a non-frontrunner candidate rather than any technical issue.
Resolution rules
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0x39272d42f01e6cdb493a857022fb8ddf708d91709eb928649868cda8a9ccf5c9 yes 100