Will Alex Michelsen be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

This market shows Michelsen priced at zero with a zero spread, indicating virtually no trader conviction in his Wimbledon chances despite $24.8K in open interest. The extremely thin 24-hour volume of just $30.96 suggests severe illiquidity and potential difficulty executing meaningful positions, making this contract difficult to trade despite the substantial notional exposure. With resolution occurring in mid-July 2026, the market has adequate time remaining, but the complete absence of a bid-ask spread combined with negligible daily turnover signals this is likely a dead or near-dead contract with minimal market participation.

Resolution rules

Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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