Will Barbora Krejčíková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Krejčíková is priced at an extremely depressed 1% despite holding $23.3M in open interest, suggesting either severe mispricing or market dysfunction given her track record as a multiple Grand Slam winner. The zero 24-hour volume combined with a 0¢ spread indicates this market is essentially frozen with no price discovery occurring, making the quoted probability potentially unreliable. With resolution just months away (Wimbledon 2026 runs through mid-July), any meaningful position entry would face severe liquidity constraints at these extreme odds.

Resolution rules

Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Regime

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