Will Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

This market shows extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction, with Perricard's contract trading at 0¢ despite $23.8M in open interest across the full market—suggesting either severe mispricing or that the bulk of capital is concentrated in other player contracts. The 7-day price collapse from 1¢ to 0¢ combined with minimal 24-hour volume of just $30.96 indicates virtually no recent trading activity, making this an unreliable gauge of true market sentiment on a 21-year-old French player's Wimbledon prospects. With roughly 18 months until the July 2026 tournament, the zero price likely reflects Perricard's current ranking and lack of Grand Slam pedigree rather than genuine zero probability, presenting a potential value opportunity if he continues his recent upward trajectory.

Resolution rules

Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Regime

Trade