Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?

This market shows extreme conviction against Dobrev becoming Hungary's next PM, with a 0% price reflecting near-total dismissal of her candidacy despite $2.68M in open interest. The zero 24-hour volume and zero spread indicate illiquidity despite substantial capital committed, suggesting this may be a legacy position or hedge rather than an actively traded contract. With the resolution date just over 18 months away and parliamentary elections scheduled for April 12, 2026, the market's pricing appears to discount Dobrev's viability entirely, though the significant open interest warrants monitoring for any political developments that could shift expectations.

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Regime

Trade