Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Daniel Helldén, the Green Party co-leader, is priced at 0% despite Sweden's September 2026 elections creating genuine uncertainty about coalition outcomes, suggesting either strong market confidence in other candidates or insufficient liquidity ($19.6K open interest) to support meaningful price discovery. The $1.47K in 24-hour volume indicates minimal trading activity for a market with over two years until resolution, making the zero price potentially unreliable as a true probability estimate. This extreme pricing warrants cross-venue comparison to assess whether other prediction markets value Helldén's chances differently, particularly given Sweden's multiparty system where coalition dynamics could elevate lesser-known figures.

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Regime

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