Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

This novelty market reflects rational skepticism with Kim Kardashian priced at just 1% despite substantial liquidity of $1.26M in open interest and $75K in daily volume, suggesting genuine interest in an outcome with virtually no realistic probability. The zero spread indicates tight pricing efficiency despite the absurdist nature of the contract, and the maker regime score of 0.295 suggests this market attracts more taker activity, typical for entertainment-focused political contracts. With nearly four years until resolution on 11/7/2028, this appears to be a speculative novelty bet rather than a serious political prediction.

Resolution rules

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

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