Will Elina Svitolina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

At 1¢ with zero 24-hour volume but $24.3M in open interest, this market shows extreme illiquidity despite substantial capital committed, suggesting the position is largely static and locked in. Svitolina's 1% implied probability reflects her age (she'll be 32 at tournament time) and recent injury history, positioning her as a significant longshot compared to younger top-ranked competitors. With the market closing just days after the tournament concludes (7/12/2026), there's minimal time for late arbitrage, and the zero spread indicates no active market makers are currently quoting prices.

Resolution rules

Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Regime

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