Will Edward Dunn be the Republican nominee for Senate in Nebraska?

1¢
Bid/Ask 1/1¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $9,088.185·Closes May 12, 2026
0x8d0d1f160c1f9e4a83671f25a625a0b438dd35e7ddd7af052952f31c01e9688c
7-day price136 snapshots · 1 regime
3¢1¢Apr 10Apr 18

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

Edward Dunn's nomination odds have collapsed from 3¢ seven days ago to 1¢ on Polymarket, suggesting deteriorating candidate viability or shifting primary dynamics in Nebraska's 2026 Republican Senate race. A notable 2¢ cross-venue gap exists with Kalshi pricing him at 3¢, indicating potential arbitrage opportunity or differing liquidity conditions between platforms. With zero 24-hour volume despite $9,088 in open interest and over 18 months until the May 2026 close, this illiquid market may not reflect real-time sentiment shifts in the primary race.

Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 3¢-2¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.88IY 5956.2%Close-time delta 4215h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Nebraska. If no 2026 Nebraska Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Nebraska Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 11:49:10 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x8d0d1f160c1f9e4a83671f25a625a0b438dd35e7ddd7af052952f31c01e9688c yes 100

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