Will Madison Keys be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

This market shows extremely low liquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $23k in open interest, suggesting the position is largely illiquid and may face slippage on execution. At 1% implied probability, Madison Keys is priced as a significant longshot among the field, which aligns with her historical performance at Wimbledon but may undervalue her if she enters the tournament in peak form. With the market closing just days after the tournament concludes (7/12/2026), there's minimal time for late-stage repricing, making current pricing relatively final.

Resolution rules

Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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