Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Analysis
AI-generated · updated dailyThis market shows extreme illiquidity despite substantial open interest of $21.1M, with Anna-Karin Hatt priced at zero percent implied probability and a zero-cent spread indicating minimal trading activity. The $609K in 24-hour volume against $21.1M open interest suggests the market may be dominated by a few large positions or has experienced significant price discovery followed by stagnation. With resolution tied to Sweden's September 13, 2026 parliamentary elections, the zero valuation likely reflects either negligible polling support for Hatt or market consensus that she is not a viable prime ministerial candidate, though traders should verify current Swedish political dynamics and her party's electoral prospects before interpreting this as definitive.
Resolution rules
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0x97c143ba31319b4d271aeebc832cdd8171dea3b52826c4c92096de1aefefa761 yes 100