Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

1¢
Bid/Ask 1/1¢·Spread 0¢·Vol $32,287.815·OI $667,772.642·Closes Nov 7, 2028
0xa9549c44687993a9a154347c6907092341459b927efaa3f2b49009ca2c4e40a1

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

Jamie Dimon's odds at 1¢ reflect the extremely low probability that the JPMorgan Chase CEO would mount a presidential campaign, given his lack of political experience and current corporate commitments. The $667.7M open interest vastly exceeds the $32.3K daily volume, suggesting this is a long-tail novelty bet with minimal liquidity and potential for sharp price swings on any news of actual candidacy. With nearly four years until the November 2028 election, this market remains highly speculative and illiquid relative to its open interest size.

Resolution rules

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Computed
4/19/2026, 11:30:19 AM
Depth change (1h) 0.0%

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xa9549c44687993a9a154347c6907092341459b927efaa3f2b49009ca2c4e40a1 yes 100

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