Will Tomáš Macháč be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

This market shows a complete collapse in Macháč's odds, dropping from 1¢ to 0¢ over seven days, suggesting either a significant injury, withdrawal, or dramatic reassessment of his competitive prospects for 2026. The $23.5M open interest combined with zero volume and a flat 0¢ spread indicates the market has essentially priced him out entirely, with no traders willing to take even a minimal contrarian position. With the tournament just months away (closing July 12, 2026), the absence of any trading activity despite substantial capital at stake is unusual and suggests strong consensus that Macháč will not be a factor in the 2026 Wimbledon draw.

Resolution rules

Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Regime

Trade