Will Markéta Vondroušová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

This market shows extremely low conviction pricing at just 1% implied probability for the Czech player, despite $24.3M in open interest suggesting meaningful capital is deployed across the full Vondroušová contract set. The zero 24-hour volume and zero-width spread indicate the market is effectively frozen with no recent trading activity, making the 1¢ price potentially stale rather than reflective of current sentiment. With the tournament occurring June 29-July 12, 2026, this contract has substantial time value remaining, yet the combination of dormant liquidity and minimal probability assignment warrants caution on treating this price as a reliable market consensus.

Resolution rules

Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Regime

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