Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ro Khanna is priced at an extremely low 1% probability despite commanding substantial liquidity with over $1M in open interest and $51K in 24-hour volume, suggesting strong trader interest in a long-shot outcome. The zero spread indicates tight bid-ask alignment despite the low price, which is unusual for such a remote probability and may reflect either algorithmic market-making or genuine conviction among contrarian bettors. With roughly 1,400 days until the November 7, 2028 expiration, this market has ample time for sentiment shifts, though Khanna's current pricing aligns with his status as a non-frontrunner candidate in the Democratic field.

Resolution rules

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Regime

Trade