Will Ausar Thompson win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
Analysis
AI-generated · updated dailyThis market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a $0 spread despite $4.9M in open interest, suggesting the position is largely illiquid or held by long-term speculators. The 0% implied probability pricing appears disconnected from Thompson's actual odds as a young player with upside potential, indicating either severe mispricing or a complete lack of active trading interest. With over 18 months until the June 2026 expiration, the market has ample time for price discovery, but current conditions suggest this is a dead market that may not reflect true consensus probability.
Also on kalshi at —¢
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Most Improved Player. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Most Improved Player, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0xbeab4e98f29bff3319e35e51fae203c1cf44bce0c31d66377e527b47f43f5325 yes 100