Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Glenn Youngkin's 2028 presidential odds are priced at an extremely depressed 1%, despite $1M+ in open interest and nearly $92K in daily volume, suggesting either strong consensus against a Youngkin candidacy or significant skepticism about his viability as a general election candidate. The zero-spread pricing indicates tight liquidity at these extreme odds, typical for long-shot outcomes where few traders are willing to accumulate positions. With roughly 3.5 years until resolution, this market appears to be pricing in either low probability of Youngkin securing the Republican nomination or poor general election prospects relative to other potential GOP candidates.

Resolution rules

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

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