Will Zoran Stevanović be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $21,012 in open interest, suggesting trapped positions or stale pricing. The price has collapsed from 9¢ to 0¢ over seven days, indicating either new information about Stevanović's political viability or a lack of active traders willing to support even minimal odds on this candidate. With the resolution date at the March 2026 parliamentary elections roughly 14 months away, the 0% implied probability appears disconnected from typical political uncertainty, warranting caution about whether this reflects genuine consensus or simply reflects thin market depth.

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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