Will Delyan Peevski be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?

This market is trading at an extreme floor price of 0¢ with virtually no probability assigned to Peevski becoming Bulgaria's next PM, despite holding 6.96M in open interest—suggesting either strong consensus against his candidacy or potential mispricing given his documented political influence in Bulgaria. The 1¢ spread and modest $127.55 in 24-hour volume indicate low liquidity for a market with substantial OI, creating potential execution challenges for larger positions. With the resolution date at 4/19/2026 (approximately 16 months away), the zero price may warrant scrutiny if Peevski's political fortunes shift materially, as similar political prediction markets have shown vulnerability to late-stage repricing.

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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