Will Amen Thompson win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?

This market shows a 0% implied probability with zero 24-hour volume despite holding $6.8M in open interest, suggesting the position is either legacy liquidity or a large holder's speculative bet that hasn't attracted recent trading activity. The zero price across both Polymarket and Kalshi indicates minimal market confidence in Thompson winning MIP, though with over 18 months until resolution (6/30/2026), the market remains highly illiquid and potentially mispriced given Thompson's age and development trajectory. The complete absence of a bid-ask spread and trading volume makes this an unreliable venue for actual position entry or exit.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Most Improved Player. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Most Improved Player, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Regime

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