Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Anisimova's 7¢ price reflects a 7% win probability with an extreme 5,801% implied yield on YES positions, though this is heavily skewed by the low price floor and should be interpreted cautiously. The market shows minimal recent movement (6¢ to 7¢ over 7 days) and thin liquidity with only $6.43 in 24-hour volume against $25.1M open interest, suggesting most positions are locked in rather than actively trading. With 84 days to expiry and a neutral regime, the market appears fairly priced for a longshot bet, though the substantial open interest relative to daily volume indicates potential difficulty exiting positions at quoted prices.

Resolution rules

Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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