Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

5¢
Bid/Ask 4/5¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $15,169.095·Closes Jul 12, 2026·84d remaining
0xb477b43678257e805f679c551cf207d9d71ffef63e8e88cf7d76c0a4fcbf07c1

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme mispricing with Gauff priced at just 5¢ despite being a top-10 player and two-time Grand Slam winner, generating an implausible 8,296% implied yield on a Yes position. The zero 24-hour volume combined with $15,141 open interest and a tight 1¢ spread suggests this is a stale or illiquid market where the price may not reflect genuine market consensus. With 84 days to expiry and resolution occurring at tournament end (July 12), the high cliff risk index of 19 indicates significant tail risk, making this potentially attractive for contrarian bettors if they believe the odds severely undervalue Gauff's realistic chances of winning.

Resolution rules

Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 8300.8%
IY (No) 23.0%
Adj IY 3320%
CRI 19
Overround -0.2%
LAS 0.20
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)8300.8%
IY (No)23.0%
Adj IY3320%
CRI19
Overround-0.2%
LAS0.20

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 11:12:23 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/19/2026, 10:53:34 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xb477b43678257e805f679c551cf207d9d71ffef63e8e88cf7d76c0a4fcbf07c1 yes 100

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