Coritiba wins by over 1.5 goals?

17¢mid
Bid/Ask 16/17¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 3, 2026·14d remaining
KXBRASILEIROSPREAD-26APR19CTBATL-CTB1
7-day price270 snapshots · 8 regime
17¢1¢Apr 12Apr 19

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market exhibits extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, suggesting the 0¢ price may not reflect genuine market consensus. The astronomical 14,209% implied yield on the Yes side combined with a 43,514% realized volatility and 6.0 cliff risk index indicate severe mispricing or a dead market rather than a genuine trading opportunity. The recent 7-day price movement from 2¢ to 15¢ suggests sporadic, low-conviction trades that have since reversed, and with only 15 days to expiry and a neutral regime, this market lacks the depth and activity needed for reliable prediction.

Resolution rules

If Coritiba wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Coritiba vs Atletico Mineiro professional Brasileiro soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 13355.5%
IY (No) 484.6%
Adj IY 11686%
CRI 5
RV 32211%
VR 3.90
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)13355.5%
IY (No)484.6%
Adj IY11686%
CRI5
RV32211%
VR3.90
IAR1.1/h
Overround-0.7%
LAS0.13

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 10:53:12 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/19/2026, 10:38:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXBRASILEIROSPREAD-26APR19CTBATL-CTB1 yes 100

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