Bahia wins by over 2.5 goals?

This market is pricing an extremely unlikely outcome at just 1% implied probability, with the price having declined 50% over the past week from 2¢, suggesting deteriorating conviction in Bahia's chances. The $310 in both volume and open interest indicates minimal liquidity, creating potential execution challenges for any meaningful position. With the underlying match originally scheduled for April 19, 2026 and resolution tied to a >2.5 goal margin, the market appears to be trading on stale or delayed information given the current date context.

Resolution rules

If Bahia wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Flamengo vs Bahia professional Brasileiro soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Regime

Trade