Flamengo wins by over 1.5 goals?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a massive 4,285% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 0¢ price is likely a stale or erroneous quote rather than a genuine market consensus. The 7-day price movement from 28¢ to 37¢ indicates the market has traded meaningfully elsewhere, creating a potential cross-venue arbitrage opportunity if the 0¢ Kalshi price reflects a data lag. With 15 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 2, traders should verify current pricing across venues before acting, as the extreme yield combined with zero liquidity signals this contract may not be actively traded on Kalshi despite recent activity on other platforms.

Resolution rules

If Flamengo wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Flamengo vs Bahia professional Brasileiro soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

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Regime

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