Flamengo wins by over 2.5 goals?

This market exhibits extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable despite the astronomical 14,559% implied yield on the Yes side. The 84¢ spread and negligible recent price movement (2¢ to 14¢ over seven days) suggest minimal market conviction, while the 6/10 Cliff Risk Index indicates potential resolution uncertainty around the April 19 match date. The 1,392% realized volatility and 2.1 info arrivals per hour signal this is a speculative micro-market where pricing is likely driven by noise rather than informed betting.

Resolution rules

If Flamengo wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Flamengo vs Bahia professional Brasileiro soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade