Internacional wins by over 2.5 goals?

12¢mid
Bid/Ask 11/12¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 3, 2026·14d remaining
KXBRASILEIROSPREAD-26APR19INTMIR-INT2
7-day price296 snapshots · 8 regime
11¢1¢Apr 12Apr 19

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market displays extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero volume and open interest despite a 2¢ spread, suggesting it may be inactive or abandoned. The astronomical implied yield of 20,702% on the Yes side reflects the 0¢ floor price rather than genuine market conviction, and the 7-day price movement from 2¢ to 11¢ indicates recent volatility in a thin market with minimal trading activity. With only 14 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 8, this contract faces significant execution risk, and the neutral regime combined with extreme realized volatility (10,046%) suggests the market lacks reliable pricing signals.

Resolution rules

If Internacional wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Internacional vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 20885.3%
IY (No) 319.0%
Adj IY 18987%
CRI 8
RV 10341%
VR 0.99
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)20885.3%
IY (No)319.0%
Adj IY18987%
CRI8
RV10341%
VR0.99
IAR1.8/h
Overround-0.6%
LAS0.09

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 10:47:23 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/19/2026, 10:38:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXBRASILEIROSPREAD-26APR19INTMIR-INT2 yes 100

Related concepts