Paranaense wins by over 1.5 goals?

5¢mid
Bid/Ask 4/5¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 3, 2026·14d remaining
KXBRASILEIROSPREAD-26APR19PALCAP-CAP1
7-day price194 snapshots · 7 regime
4¢1¢Apr 13Apr 19

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market exhibits extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero volume and open interest despite a theoretically massive 60,568% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 0¢ price is a stale or erroneous quote rather than a genuine market consensus. The 8,091% realized volatility and cliff risk index of 24 indicate severe mispricing or data anomalies, while the recent price movement from 2¢ to 4¢ shows minimal absolute activity in a market with only 14 days to expiry. The neutral regime score and 1.3 info arrivals per hour suggest low market attention, making this an unreliable venue for actual risk assessment on this Paranaense matchup.

Resolution rules

If Paranaense wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Palmeiras vs Paranaense professional Brasileiro soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 60614.4%
IY (No) 105.2%
Adj IY 45461%
CRI 24
RV 8091%
VR 1.21
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)60614.4%
IY (No)105.2%
Adj IY45461%
CRI24
RV8091%
VR1.21
IAR1.3/h
Overround-0.5%
LAS0.25

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 10:51:30 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/19/2026, 10:38:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXBRASILEIROSPREAD-26APR19PALCAP-CAP1 yes 100

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