Palmeiras wins by over 1.5 goals?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $39.88 open interest, making the 5120% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical and unreliable for actual trading. The 36¢ price has climbed 4 cents over seven days, suggesting modest bullish sentiment, though the tight 2¢ spread indicates minimal market maker confidence in either direction. With 14 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 2, traders should be cautious that the match date (April 19) falls well before market close (May 3), creating potential resolution uncertainty if the game is postponed or rescheduled.

Resolution rules

If Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Palmeiras vs Paranaense professional Brasileiro soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

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