Palmeiras wins by over 2.5 goals?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a dramatic 7-day price surge from 2¢ to 15¢, suggesting thin order books and potential for wide slippage. The 14,048% implied yield on the Yes side reflects the near-zero pricing rather than genuine probability assessment, while the 6 Cliff Risk Index and 11,866% realized volatility indicate this is a highly unstable micro-market prone to erratic movements. With only 15 days to expiry and a Brasileiro match outcome that requires a >2.5 goal margin (relatively rare in professional soccer), traders should exercise extreme caution given the illiquidity and potential for the market to gap sharply on any news or late-stage information arrival.

Resolution rules

If Palmeiras wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Palmeiras vs Paranaense professional Brasileiro soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

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