Bragantino wins by over 1.5 goals?

41¢
Bid/Ask 37/38¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $28.1·Closes May 3, 2026·14d remaining
KXBRASILEIROSPREAD-26APR19RBBCR-RBB1
7-day price171 snapshots · 7 regime
37¢29¢Apr 12Apr 19

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market displays extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $28.1 open interest, making the 41¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading. The astronomical 4300% implied yield on the Yes side suggests severe mispricing or a liquidity crisis rather than genuine market consensus, particularly concerning given the match was originally scheduled for April 19 but the market doesn't close until May 3—indicating possible fixture postponement or rescheduling that may affect betting dynamics. The realized volatility of 258% and modest 5¢ price recovery over seven days (32¢ to 37¢) reflect the market's instability, though the low cliff risk index of 2 suggests the binary outcome itself isn't dramatically uncertain.

Resolution rules

If Bragantino wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Bragantino vs Remo professional Brasileiro soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4300.3%
IY (No) 1483.3%
Adj IY 4300%
CRI 2
RV 258%
VR 0.35
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4300.3%
IY (No)1483.3%
Adj IY4300%
CRI2
RV258%
VR0.35
IAR0.8/h
Overround-0.4%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 10:46:38 AM
Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 10:38:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXBRASILEIROSPREAD-26APR19RBBCR-RBB1 yes 100

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